A novel project has been developed to test thousands of management strategies in seconds. Mark O’Donnell from Blackpool Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust and Andy Moore from Frazer-Nash Consultancy describe how technology could help managers to make the best decisions without putting patients at risk of harm.
The NHS is facing a multitude of challenges from the increasing demands and needs of a growing and ageing population; pressure on staff is high and the delivery of essential services has to be made within tight funding parameters. Hospital accident and emergency departments (EDs) are experiencing significant trials in meeting demand. With around six million attendances in the three months to December 2017 alone1 – up 4% from last year – many hospitals are struggling to meet the target of either admitting or discharging 95% of patients within four hours.
Imagine that your job is to determine the best strategy of care for an NHS ED: typically, a lack of beds is making admitting new patients difficult, patient waiting times are already breaching five hours, but it’s only 4 pm and it’s going to get even busier soon. Your first instinct is to send more clinicians to the front door, but you are short staffed in every department. Experience tells you that this will create greater problems later. Could you restructure the ED or better optimise the responsibilities of your staff to ease the pressure in the next few hours? Could you do anything differently to prevent this situation reoccurring next week? How do you know that changing your strategy won’t create new problems, make the situation worse or put patients’ quality of care at risk?
In this highly-pressurised environment, there is understandably a desire to innovate – to find new ways to more confidently allocate resources without any unintended consequences. Blackpool Teaching Hospitals Foundation Trust and Frazer-Nash Consultancy have been working together to explore how to tackle the problems facing EDs within the wider hospital system.
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